Sharpe.Markets Blog

Insights, analysis, and updates from the team building the Smart-Money Terminal.

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Announcementโ€ขJun 5, 20266 min

Introducing Sharpe.Markets v2: The Professional Prediction Market Terminal

We are evolving from a smart-money tool to a full professional terminal with cross-venue arbitrage, on-chain signals, portfolio Kelly, and backtesting.

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Strategyโ€ขJun 3, 20268 min

Cross-Venue Arbitrage: Polymarket vs. Kalshi

How to capture risk-free returns when prediction markets diverge on the same underlying event.

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Researchโ€ขMay 28, 20269 min

Portfolio Kelly: Correlation-Aware Position Sizing

How to maximize geometric growth while respecting your risk tolerance using the Kelly Criterion with correlation matrices.

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Engineeringโ€ขMay 20, 20267 min

On-Chain Signal Pipeline: Whale Tracking on Polygon

How we use Polygon RPC to label wallets, track whale positions, and generate early signals before the market reacts.

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Strategyโ€ขMay 15, 20266 min

Backtesting Engine: Validate Before You Risk

How to test strategies against real historical market data with walk-forward validation.

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Productโ€ขMay 10, 20265 min

AI Market Briefings: Why Did Odds Move?

How our AI generates plain-language summaries of market shifts, backed by on-chain and order book data.

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Researchโ€ขMay 5, 20268 min

Smart Score Explained: How We Vet Wallets

A deep dive into the Smart Score algorithm that ranks wallets by PnL quality, win rate, age, and wash-filtering.

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Strategyโ€ขApr 28, 20267 min

Finding Correlation Arbitrage on Polymarket

How to detect mutually-exclusive market sets that violate probability bounds โ€” pure math, no prediction required.

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